I'm going to vote yes, cause there is still the "POSSIBILITY" he could come back on top he would have come make 09 the driest he's ever been, real gritty and begins wearing a weight belt uberly tight for the rest of the off and on season to try to force his waist saller similar to what Coleman did using the Girddle Method to get that nice V-taper.
In fairness to Jay his latest pics do show him to be in great shape. But winning with no right side of his body when compared to guys like Phil and Dex? He just isn't in the running.
I can see him doing better than you'd expect though as he is able to hide his flaws in the comparisons (check the guest posing thread). He will probably be top 5, possibly 3rd.
The best bodybuilder right now is Victor Martinez but he has to demostrate on stage. Phil is a serious cotender this year better than Dex. Jay is the most professional bodybuilder nowadays and he will be in shape that day so he will have a chance to win the show also. Be careful with Kai.
Dennis Wolf will be a great surprise.
Look at the pics on the guestposing thread, he doesn't look that bigger next to phil.